Shortly after he was arrested for
orchestrating the assassination of a Supreme Court justice late last year,
Hutomo "Tommy" Suharto, son of the former Indonesian strongman, filed suit
against two aides to former President Abdurrahman Wahid.
Tommy wasn’t
claiming false arrest. He wasn’t suing for defamation of character. He just
wanted his money back.
The 36-year old heir to the multi-billion dollar Suharto fortune claimed
he had given the middlemen a $2 million bribe that was meant to buy a Wahid
pardon for an earlier conviction in connections with a real estate swindle.
Since the pardon was rejected, Tommy argued, it was only fair that he get
his bribe back. Besides, after the assassination of one of their own, the
other Supreme Court justices had overturned the conviction anyway, even
though Tommy was a fugitive at the time.
Welcome to Indonesia in the post-Suharto era, a nation deep in the throes
of political, economic and social transition punctuated by contradictions at
every turn.
On one level, the saga of Tommy Suharto is a vivid example of
business-as-usual in one of the world's more corrupt societies. But on
another level, it masks the fact that Indonesia has changed in fundamental
ways that could alter the very nature of its society.
For the architects of America's war on terror, the ability to penetrate
the appearances and realities of the world's largest Moslem country will
have a critical impact on the battle in the years ahead.
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In many respects, it would have been much easier for post-Sept. 11 U.S.
foreign policy if Suharto had never been overthrown. The former general used
a strong hand to hold together his necklace of 17,000 islands and 300
language groups. Any hint of rebellion in the provinces met with a violent
response, as the agony of East Timor painfully demonstrated. Political
opposition was bought off or silenced. Islamic sentiment was funneled into
tame social movements. Clerics who raised the forbidden subject of Islamic
rule were jailed or exiled.
Today, Indonesia is an ethnic quilt held together with fraying thread.
Provinces at either end of the vast archipelago are in revolt, officials in
oil-rich Aceh have established religious police to enforce an Islamic dress
code, Moslem-Christian clashes have claimed some 10,000 lives, and the
country has had four presidents in as many years.
There have been rumors of Taliban and al-Qaeda involvement in the
anti-Christian jihad, several Indonesian clerics and their followers have
been implicated in regional terrorist plots, a shadowy group called the
Islamic Defenders Front has threatened foreigners who hold the key to
reviving the devastated economy, and at least one suspected Indonesian
militant has been directly tied to both the Sept. 11th hijackers
and the bombing of the U.S.S. Cole in Yemen.
Against that backdrop, it would be easy for American architects of the
war on terror to convince themselves that Indonesia’s interests coincide
with those of the U.S.
History would seem to bolster their argument. President Megawati
Sukarnoputri's own father, the nationalist Sukarno, fought to contain
radical Islam, a job completed by the man who ousted him, Suharto. Surely
the woman leader of the world’s largest Moslem country would do everything
possible to prevent <I>al Qaeda</I> from fostering a fundamentalist
resurgence that would oppose her very existence in office.
Megawati seemed to confirm that when she stood beside President George W.
Bush in the aftermath of Sept. 11 and signaled her country’s support in the
war on terrorism.
But behind that façade is another reality: To overtly confront the forces
that could threaten her is to strengthen the forces that do
threaten her.
Within days of returning home, Megawati was adjusting her message to
Washington in the face of criticism from figures like her own vice
president, Hamzah Haz of the Moslem-oriented United Development Party, who
claimed the World Trade Center bombing would "cleanse the sins" of the U.S.
"Prolonged military action is not only counterproductive but also can
weaken the global coalition’s joint effort to combat terrorism," Megawati
said in a speech before parliament.
Westerners looking at Indonesia today are likely to see a young
democracy, a free press and billboards for Citibank, and assume shared
values. But the fact is that a few Western trappings have been hung on what
remains a very Indonesian mannequin.
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Indonesia has always been a culture in which most things are best left
unsaid. Confrontation is anathema. The word "no" is rarely used. Bapak,
the father figure in business, the family or the nation, is always right.
Jakarta hotels in the late ‘80s and early ‘90s were jammed with Western
businesspeople whose would-be Indonesian partners had nodded sagely at their
proposals and promised to get back to them. Few ever did.
But globetrotting salesmen aren't the only foreign visitors to Indonesia
who have been tripped up by a culture in which appearances are far more
important than reality.
"Things were going fine until he saw that picture," a source in the
Indonesian presidential palace told me in early 1998. "Then his attitude
changed completely."
"That picture" was a photo showing IMF Managing Director Michel Camdessus
standing -- arms crossed -- looking down at President Suharto as he signed a
$43 billion bailout package.
In the stylized culture of Java, in which respect for the ruler is
paramount and body language speaks as loudly as words, crossing ones arms
is, at best, a sign of arrogance, and at worst a conscious insult. Even to a
Western eye, the picture begged for the caption: "Suharto signs articles of
surrender."
"If only Camdessus had known…" IMF officials said when the media
firestorm broke. Indeed. But the damage was already done.
The moment Suharto saw the photo, according to the source, the deal was
dead. Within days, the Indonesia president was backpedaling. Within weeks,
the flag of nationalism had been waved. Cynics might say Suharto's desire to
protect the wealth of his family and cronies might have had a little
something to do with his desire to duck financial reforms being forced on
him by the IMF, but the photo gave him an excuse every Indonesian
understood.
"We are talking about dignity," said a senior government official of the
incident. "We are talking sovereignty. We want help, but at what cost?"
Four years later, that sentiment was echoed again as Indonesian officials
reacted to criticism from Singapore founder Lee Kuan Yew, who claimed
Jakarta was dragging its feet in the war on terror.
Foreign Minister Hasan Wirayuda called the comments "provocative," Abu
Bakar Ba'asyir, a Moslem cleric who spent four years in jail under Suharto
and who Lee charged was a major terrorist ringleader, filed a slander suit
in a Jakarta court, and some politicians said Lee had done their country a
service by sparking a new wave of Indonesian nationalism.
Indonesian security officials, meanwhile, maintained that Lee's criticism
was unfounded.
"We can't publish it yet, [but] Indonesia has been effectively working to
combat terrorism," insisted Chief Security Minister Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono.
But such assurances were undermined by the country's lack of credibility,
the natural legacy of a business and political culture in which decisions
are routinely made behind closed doors.
That culture of secrecy -- in which candor is rare and transparency is a
dirty word -- has long plagued Indonesia's relations with the outside world.
"I had no idea when I was here [last year] that there was $65 billion, or
whatever the number is, of unhedged dollar borrowings and I don’t think the
Indonesians knew," World Bank President James Wolfensohn admitted in early
1998.
The traditional Javanese shadow puppet play, in which the characters act
out the story behind an opaque screen, is an overused but apt analogy for
the veil of secrecy behind which business and government has long operated
in Indonesia.
Decisions are handed down without discussion or debate. Inside deals are
common currency. The most innocuous facts about a company are kept under
wraps. Even annual reports are routinely issued a year or two late.
For many years, that shadow play -- which now complicates America's
conduct of the terror war in Southeast Asia -- was extremely convenient for
the U.S. government, and, in particular, American business.
Long before the dot-coms, long before Enron, it was on the bourses of
Jakarta and a dozen other emerging markets that Wall Street perfected its
ability to look the other way.
Underwriters like Merrill Lynch and Morgan Stanley could make millions
orchestrating public offerings for feudal conglomerates, without causing the
loss of face involved in demanding real financial transparency. Western
brokers could promise clients staggering returns on the Jakarta Stock
Exchange, without embarrassing Indonesian counterparts by mentioning rampant
insider trading. Overseas investment banks could write blank checks for
loans to Indonesian conglomerates, without uncomfortable discussions about
the fact most were already overextended.
As long as no one asked too many questions, as long as everyone agreed
appearance <I>was</I> reality, there were plenty of windfall profits to go
around.
But when the Asian bubble burst and members of the newly-created middle
class suddenly found themselves without jobs and began shouting that the
emperor had no clothes, the ponzi scheme came crashing down.
The child of that revolution is a nascent democracy grafted onto a
culture of secrecy, illusion and contradiction.
When FBI Director Robert Mueller arrived in Indonesia in late March to
discuss the war on terrorism, he must have felt as if he had stepped through
Alice’s looking glass. Some of the news filling the local papers:
The FBI director spent two days quietly meeting with the country’s
security minister, national police chief and head of the national
intelligence agency (in the safety of the Hindu-dominated island of Bali,
far from potential Moslem demonstrators) as part of a regional tour to
coordinate strategy in the war on terror.
As the meetings ended, the two sides issued all the usual public
expressions of cooperation, but the Indonesians added one caveat:
"We have explained that Indonesia is committed to fighting international
terrorism," said Security Minister Susilo, "but with different methods."
That was driven home just two days later when the foreign minister
announced that Indonesia would "do its utmost" to protect the rights of
three Indonesians detained in the Philippines after they were caught with
explosives at Manila airport.
For the FBI director, the statement must have been final confirmation
that the white rabbit had an Indonesian cousin.
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The irony of Indonesia’s emergence as an important front in the terror
war is that it today stands as a model for the rise of a moderate brand of
political Islam that gives voice to Moslem aspirations as part of,
rather than in opposition to, the political process.
The 1998 Indonesian revolution succeeded because it brought together all
strata of society – from the street beggars to the Mercedes class -- but
also because it tapped the latent grassroots power of Islam.
Indonesian Moslems, most of whom practice an extremely tolerant brand of
Islam, account for more than 90 per cent of the country's population. Yet
under Suharto and his predecessor Sukarno, Islam never played a political
role.
The foot soldiers of the anti-Suharto revolt may have come from the
universities. The coup d’gras may have been inflicted by the Army's top
general (see sidebar). But the field marshals of the revolution were men
like Amien Rais and Abdurrahman Wahid, who flexed the newfound political
muscles of the mass Moslem movements they headed. Suharto's former vice
president and successor, B.J. Habibie, further strengthened the political
power of Moslem groups by cultivating them in a failed attempt to win
legitimacy.
"When, a few years from now, historians of Moslem politics look back at
the end of the Twentieth Century, Indonesia will probably deserve to be
given pride of place on a par with Iran," Robert W. Hefner, a professor of
anthropology at Boston University, recently wrote. "Measured according to
its intellectual vitality and prospective mass base, Indonesia in the late
1990s was one of the most vibrant centers for new Muslim political thinking
that the modern world has seen."
It was his position as head of the Nahdlatul Ulama (NU), or Religious
Scholars organization, with a power base of some 30 million Moslems, that
propelled Wahid to the presidency. As reformasi took root in the wake
of Suharto’s rule, the nearly-blind cleric formed the National Awakening
Party (PKB) to leverage the NU’s existing grassroots network.
But like Rais, Habibie and other mainstream Moslem leaders, Wahid
(popularly-known as Gus Dur) steered clear of using the political process as
a vehicle for spreading Islamic beliefs.
"If the new parties want Islam to be a moral or educational force in
politics, that's ok", he said in 1999, "but if they want to tinker with the
laws of this country, then we must resist that".
Just as Nasser’s Egypt did for young Arab intellectuals in the 1950s,
Indonesia offers a model that gives vent to Moslem political aspirations
that might otherwise manifest as Islamic militancy. But where Nasser’s
one-man rule meant mass participation was severely circumscribed,
Indonesia’s political free-for-all -- with some 170 registered political
parties -- gives voice to virtually all elements of society.
One example of how the structures of Islam are being used as a political
base can be found in the emergence of Partai Keadilan, or Justice Party,
popularly known by its Indonesian initials PK. Formed in July 1998, the PK
seeks to add an Islamic spiritual dimension to political activism, but
officially states that it is up to the individual to interpret the religious
teachings of Islam. Party cadres are recruited primarily through local
mosques, where students as young as 12 years old are organized into Koran
reading and discussion groups then, after a year of participation,
encouraged to form groups of their own. Through this tiered system, the
party is building a long-term strategy by tapping youth often ignored by
other political groups in a culture where age is revered. The stated goal is
"to use power to serve others," not to implement Islamic law.
"We want the party to become a pioneer in upholding Islamic values and we
want to do that within the framework of democracy, national unity and
integrity," party chairman Hidayat Nur Wahid recently told an interviewer.
"Even if you are Moslem, if you are unjust and oppress non-Moslems, you
should be punished. This is how we view syariah (Islamic law).
But it was just such a network of mosques and Islamic schools in Saudi
Arabia, Yemen and Pakistan that funneled recruits to <I>al Qaeda</I>.
Indonesia's homegrown terrorists seem to share similar roots.
With seven seats in parliament, the PK's success to date underlines both
the value of such Islamic political organizations if they remain true to
their stated mission and their potential threat if the parties, or
individuals within them, draw on those infrastructures to plot a more
violent course. And given that the PK was founded as an extension of the
Arab grandfather of Moslem resistance organizations, the Al-Ikhwan Al-Muslimoon
or Moslem Brotherhood, such a possibility cannot be ignored.
For Jakarta in 2002 bears one other similarity to Cairo in the ‘50s: The
threat from a cross-border movement seeking to create a pan-Islamic nation.
Just as the Moslem Brotherhood sought to overthrow regimes across the Middle
East and replace them with a single Islamic nation, so the militants of
Jemaah Islamiyah seek to establish Darul Islamiyah Nusantara, an
Islamic state incorporating Indonesia, Malaysia and portions of the
Philippines.
The goal of preventing that is shared by officials in Washington and
Jakarta. But that does not mean they necessarily agree on tactics.
A recent Gallup poll of sentiment in the Islamic world revealed that only
27% of Indonesians viewed the U.S. favorably, 89% said the U.S. military
action in Afghanistan was unjustified, and 74% said they did not believe
Arabs carried out the Sept. 11 attacks.
Given those numbers, any government would hesitate to overtly side with
the U.S. That is doubly true of a president in a shaky coalition government
that depends on several Moslem parties for its survival, including a vice
president who once opposed the very idea of a woman in the country's highest
office.
Further complicating the situation is an historic love-hate relationship
between Indonesia and the U.S., viewed through a prism of nationalism,
culture and religion -- all exploited at various times by the country's
leaders for their own ends. Suspicion of the West -- and the U.S. in
particular -- colors every aspect of the relationship.
A tendency toward conspiracy theories runs deep in Indonesian society,
illustrated by the widespread belief that the devaluation of the rupiah in
the early '90s was the result of a conspiracy between financier George Soros
and the country's ethnic Chinese. Many Indonesians believe the West wants to
break up the country or otherwise prevent it from becoming a regional power.
American criticism of Indonesia's human rights record (see sidebar) is
widely seen as hypocritical in light of a U.S. foreign policy that is
perceived as exploitative and biased, particularly when it comes to Israel
and the Palestinians, a subject that sparks anger at every level of society.
While there exists a voracious appetite for things Western -- from MTV to
Coke -- there also exists the same kind of cultural backlash that fueled
Osama bin Laden's rise, reflected in a spate of attacks on bars earlier this
year and the increased appearance of Islamic attire even among the upper
classes.
Moderate Moslem leaders -- and the vast majority of mainstream Moslems --
have almost as much to lose as Megawati by the rise of fundamentalism. If
such a scenario ever showed signs of manifesting as reality, it is likely
that all the power centers would close ranks against the threat.
But in the meantime, Moslem politicians will seize every opportunity to
exploit public suspicions of the U.S. as a powerful weapon in their
maneuvering toward the 2004 presidential elections.
"Everything that gives the impression that Indonesia is serving the
American interest in its drive to fight terrorism will be opposed by the
[House of Representatives], the press and the public," Lt. Gen. (ret) Zen A.
Maulani, a former intelligence chief, recently told an interviewer. "This
means that they will also oppose Megawati if she allows this impression to
gain credence."
As always in Indonesia, it is the "impression" -- the appearance -- which
is at issue. Most Indonesian Moslems are willing to look the other way as
extremist elements are neutralized, but they don't want to be seen to be
doing so. Indonesians are proud of their role as the world's largest Moslem
society. They are not prepared to puncture the illusion of Islamic
solidarity.
To expose the reality of their quiet support for the neutralization of
extremists is to cause a loss of face across the breadth of Indonesian
society, from the volatile Islamic schools of Central Java to the
presidential palace.
Such miscalculations by American policy planners – or too-aggressive
tactics by the terror warriors – could cause a backlash, undermining the
anti-terror effort and potentially creating precisely the kind of
instability upon which radical Islam breeds.
Which is why Indonesia's culture of appearances could yet prove a
valuable tool in the terror war. The key is whether American terror warriors
can simultaneously understand, deftly utilize and judiciously penetrate the
shadow play.
Seated beside a smiling Megawati Sukarnoputri just eight days after Sept.
11, President Bush indelicately stripped the Indonesian president of her
veil of deniability as surely as if he had yanked off the Islamic head cover
she sometimes wears.
"Some nations will be comfortable supporting covert activities, some
nations will only be comfortable with providing information," Bush told
reporters. "Others will be helpful and will only be comfortable supporting
financial matters, I understand that."
Whatever the U.S. president intended, the appearance sent much the same
message as the crossed arms of the IMF's Camdessus as he stood looming over
Suharto back in '98. Bush might as well have said, "She's going to do our
bidding, but deny it."
Bush's wartime presidency thrives on bold headlines spotlighting dramatic
action. In Indonesia, all the news is not necessarily fit to print. Nor does
much appear in neat black and white.
Some elements of the Indonesian security services – who detained
Ba’asyir, the controversial cleric, for four years under Suharto – are
reportedly chafing at Megawati’s go-slow directive, but they are no
strangers to operating in the shadows. Even as they were being criticized
for their failure to arrest Ba’asyir, a move that would have set off a
political firestorm, authorities quietly picked up another suspected
terrorist and deported him to Egypt, where that country's intelligence
service and the Americans were waiting with open arms.
It was a reminder that while the terror war may be played out with B-52s
in Afghanistan, special forces troops in the Philippines and an overt
political crackdown in Yemen, to succeed in Indonesia it must abide by local
rules.
A shadow war gives a weak government deniability, the security apparatus
flexibility, and the moderate Moslem majority the chance to pretend
appearance is reality.